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特发性炎性肌病回顾性队列研究:生存分析及生存相关危险因素

Survival Analysis and Risk Factors for Survival in Idiopathic Inflammatory Myopathies: a Retrospective Cohort Study

  • 摘要: 目的 研究影响特发性炎性肌病(ⅡM)患者生存的主要危险因素。 方法 回顾四川大学华西医院风湿免疫科1997年1月至2010年12月住院部及门诊收治的ⅡM患者163例,用Kaplan-Meier方法估计生存曲线分析患者生存与死亡情况,采用Log-rank检验及单因素Cox回归分析进行单因素分析,并采用Cox回归模型进行多因素分析。 结果 163例患者中死亡21例。ⅡM患者的3、5、10年生存率分别约为93%、89%及80%。皮肌炎(DM)或无肌病皮肌炎(ADM)患者较多发性肌炎(PM)患者死亡率明显增加(P=0.033,P=0.006),ⅡM患者合并肿瘤或心血管系统受累的死亡率高于不合并者(P<0.001,P=0.015)。合并肿瘤或心血管系统受累是影响ⅡM患者生存的独立危险因素。 结论 DM、ADM的预后比PM差。ⅡM患者的生存受诸多因素影响,合并肿瘤或心血管系统受累是其独立危险因素。

     

    Abstract: Objective To study predominant risk factors for survival in idiopathic inflammatory myopathies(ⅡM). Methods The clinical data of 163 cases of ⅡM were reviewed, who received the diagnosis and treatments in West China Hospital from January 1997 to December 2010. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used for the survival analysis of these patients with ⅡM. Univariate and multivariate analysis of risk factors for survival in the patients with ⅡM were carried out by Log-rank test, univariate Cox regression analysis and Cox regression model respectively. Results There were 21 death occured among 163 patients with ⅡM, and the estimated 3, 5, 10-year survival rate was 93%, 89%, 80% respectively. The mortality of the patients with dermatomyositis(DM) or amyophathic dermatomyositis(ADM) increased significantly when compared with polymyositis(PM,P=0.033,P=0.06). The mortality of ⅡM patients complicated with tumor or cadiovascular involvement was much higher than that of those patients without any complications (P<0.001,P=0.015). Tumor and cadiovascular involvement were two independent risk factors for the survival of ⅡM individuals. Conclusion DM and ADM have much unfavorable prognosis than PM. Tumor and cadiovascular involvement are two major risk factors for the survival of ⅡM patients.

     

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