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脑卒中患者医院感染的病原菌分布特征及危险因素分析

Pathogen Profile and Risk Factors for Hospital-Acquired Infection in Stroke Patients

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨脑卒中患者发生医院感染的危险因素,并分析其病原菌分布及感染部位的相关特征。
    方法 采用回顾性队列研究设计,纳入2024年1月–2025年7月首都医科大学附属北京天坛医院住院的脑卒中患者393例,其中感染组184例,未感染组209例。采用多因素logistic回归分析筛选感染危险因素,并构建列线图模型。
    结果 多因素logistic回归分析显示,脑梗死〔比值比(odds ratio, OR)=25.09,95%置信区间(confidence interval, CI): 5.38~117.10〕、无饮酒史(OR=4.47,95%CI:1.51~13.18)、无脑血管病史(OR=5.04,95%CI:1.35~18.76)、中性粒细胞计数升高(OR=1.29,95%CI:1.08~1.55)、C反应蛋白升高(OR=1.03,95%CI:1.01~1.06)为卒中患者医院感染的独立危险因素;未行鼻饲(OR=0.09,95%CI:0.03~0.31)、未留置导尿管(OR=0.21,95%CI:0.06~0.77)及无术后昏迷(OR=0.07,95%CI:0.01~0.36)为保护因素。列线图模型在训练集与验证集中的曲线下面积分别为0.96(95%CI:0.94~0.98)和0.94(95%CI:0.90~0.99),校准度良好。感染病原菌以革兰阴性菌为主(70.2%),感染部位以呼吸道最为常见(92.9%)。气管插管、意识障碍等为肺部及革兰阴性菌感染的共同危险因素。
    结论 本研究明确了脑卒中患者发生医院感染的独立危险因素,构建了预测效能良好的列线图模型,并初步揭示了不同感染类型和部位的风险特征,为临床早期识别高危患者及制定针对性防控策略提供参考依据。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the risk factors for hospital-acquired infection in patients with stroke and to analyze the distribution of pathogens and characteristics of infection sites.
    Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted, enrolling 393 patients with stroke hospitalized at Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, from January 2024 to July 2025. Among them, 184 patients were assigned to the infection group and 209 to the non-infection group. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for hospital-acquired infection, and a nomogram prediction model was constructed.
    Results Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified cerebral infarction (odds ratio = 25.09, 95% confidence interval: 5.38-117.10), no history of alcohol consumption (odds ratio = 4.47, 95% confidence interval: 1.51-13.18), no history of cerebrovascular disease (odds ratio = 5.04, 95% confidence interval: 1.35-18.76), elevated neutrophil count (odds ratio = 1.29, 95% confidence interval: 1.08-1.55), and elevated C-reactive protein (odds ratio = 1.03, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.06) as independent risk factors for hospital-acquired infection in patients with stroke. Absence of nasogastric tube feeding (odds ratio = 0.09, 95% confidence interval: 0.03-0.31), no indwelling urinary catheterization (odds ratio = 0.21, 95% confidence interval: 0.06-0.77), and absence of postoperative coma (odds ratio = 0.07, 95% confidence interval: 0.01-0.36) were identified as protective factors. The nomogram model achieved an area under the curve of 0.96 (95% confidence interval: 0.94-0.98) in the training set and 0.94 (95% confidence interval: 0.90-0.99) in the validation set, with good calibration. Gram-negative bacteria were the predominant pathogens (70.2%), and the respiratory tract was the most common infection site (92.9%). Endotracheal intubation and impaired consciousness were identified as common risk factors for both pulmonary and Gram-negative bacterial infections.
    Conclusion This study identified independent risk factors for hospital-acquired infection in patients with stroke, developed a nomogram model with good predictive performance, and preliminarily characterized the risk profiles associated with different infection types and sites. These findings provide a reference for early identification of high-risk patients and the formulation of targeted prevention and control strategies.

     

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