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高海拔地区急性脑出血患者血常规中各项参数对脑损伤程度的预测价值

Predictive Performance of Routine Blood Test Parameters for the Severity of Brain Damage in Patients With Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage in High-Altitude Regions

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨高海拔地区急性脑出血(ACH)患者血常规中各项参数的变化对脑损伤程度的预测价值。
    方法 采用回顾性分析,选取西藏某医院确诊的249例ACH住院患者,收集其一般资料及血常规等数据。按格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评分分为轻度脑损伤组(GCS≥13分)与中重度组(GCS≤12分),比较两组一般资料及实验室检查结果;通过二元logistic回归分析血常规指标与脑损伤程度的关系,筛选关键指标;并采用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)分析关键指标联合对ACH患者脑损伤程度的预测能力。
    结果 中重度组中高海拔居住比例、白细胞(white blood cell, WBC)、中性粒细胞(neutrophil, N)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, NLR)、系统免疫炎症指数(systemic inflammatory index, SII)、中性与血小板比值(neutrophil-to-platelet ratio, NPR)、C反应蛋白(C-reactive protein, CRP)与淋巴细胞比值(CRP-to-lymphocyte ratio, CLR)高于轻度组,淋巴细胞(lymphocyte, L)、血小板(platelet, PLT)、血小板与白蛋白比值(platelet-to-albumin ratio, PAR)则更低。二元logistic回归显示:WBC(OR=1.221,95%CI:1.127~1.322)、 CRP(OR=1.019,95%CI:1.004~1.033)、CRP与白蛋白比值(CRP-to-albumin ratio, CAR)(OR=1.845,95%CI:1.137~2.996)、CLR(OR=1.018,95%CI:1.005~1.030)与中重度脑损伤正相关,其升高分别增加对应倍数风险;PAR(OR=0.845,95%CI:0.721~0.990)负相关,升高使风险减少0.845倍。ROC分析:轻度组WBC+CRP联合诊断AUC=0.689(最佳截断值 0.19,特异度 0.776,95%CI:0.624~0.755);PAR+CAR+CLR联合诊断(CAR无意义, P>0.05)AUC=0.675(最佳截断值0.19,特异度0.760,95%CI:0.609~0.741);关键指标WBC+PAR+CLR联合(CRP无意义, P>0.05)可预测中重度脑损伤,AUC=0.737(最佳截断值0.08,特异度0.624,95%CI:0.676~0.798)。
    结论 WBC+CRP、PAR+CLR、WBC+PAR+CLR对于预测ACH患者脑损伤程度具有重要价值,可以作为高海拔地区急性脑出血患者脑损伤程度的潜在预测工具。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To investigate the predictive value of changes in various indicators of routine blood tests for the severity of brain damage in patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage (ACH) in high-altitude regions.
    Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from 249 inpatients diagnosed with ACH at a hospital in Xizang. Patient data, including demographic information and results of routine blood tests, were collected. Based on their Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores, the patients were divided into 2 groups, a mild brain damage group (GCS ≥ 13 points) and a moderate-to-severe brain damage group (GCS ≤ 12 points). Demographic information and laboratory test results were compared between the two groups. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the relationship between indicators of routine blood tests and the severity of brain damage, and key indicators were identified. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive performance of key indicators in various combinations for the severity of brain injury in ACH patients.
    Results The moderate-to-severe group had a higher proportion of high-altitude residents, as well as elevated levels of white blood cells (WBC), neutrophils (N), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic inflammatory index (SII), neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR), and C-reactive protein (CRP)-to-lymphocyte ratio (CLR), compared to the mild group. On the other hand, the levels of lymphocytes (L), platelets (PLT), and platelet-to-albumin ratio (PAR) in the moderate-to-severe group were lower than those in the mild group. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that WBC (OR = 1.221, 95% CI: 1.127-1.322), CRP (OR = 1.019, 95% CI: 1.004-1.033), CRP-to-albumin ratio (CAR) (OR = 1.845, 95% CI: 1.137-2.996), and CLR (OR = 1.018, 95% CI: 1.005-1.030) were positively associated with moderate-to-severe brain damage, and that their elevated levels were associated with an increase in risk by the corresponding folds. PAR (OR = 0.845, 95% CI: 0.721-0.990) was negatively correlated with moderate-to-severe brain damage, with an increase resulting in a reduction of risk by 0.845 times. ROC curve analysis showed that, in the mild group, the combined AUC for WBC + CRP was 0.689 (optimal cutoff value 0.19, specificity 0.776, 95% CI: 0.624-0.755) ; the PAR + CAR + CLR combination (CAR was not significant, P > 0.05) had an AUC of 0.675 (optimal cutoff value 0.19, specificity 0.760, 95% CI: 0.609-0.741); the key indicator combination of WBC + PAR + CLR (CRP was not significant, P > 0.05) demonstrating the strong predictive performance moderate-to-severe brain damage, yielding an AUC of 0.737 (optimal cutoff value 0.08, specificity 0.624, 95% CI: 0.676-0.798).
    Conclusion The indicator combinations of WBC + CRP, PAR + CLR, and WBC + PAR + CLR exhibit significant value for predicting the severity of brain injury in ACH patients and may serve as potential predictive tools for the severity of brain damage in patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage in high-altitude regions.

     

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