Response to Primary Biliary Cholangitis Treatment: Influencing Factors and the Role in Prognosis Prediction

  Objective  To examine the influencing factors and prognostic features of poor response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) treatment in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) patients with dyslipidemia.

  Methods  A retrospective study was conducted, covering 512 patients who had a confirmed diagnosis of PBC, and who received treatment at West China Hospital, Sichuan University between January 2009 and March 2022. According to their actual response to UDCA treatment, patients were divided into two groups, UDCA full-response group (n=305) and UDCA non-responding group (n=207). The data from the two groups were compared to predict the adverse factors influencing patient response and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, identify the cut-off value of total cholesterol (TC), and analyze the differences in baseline laboratory test findings and the rate of responses to treatment. According to the TC cut-off value, patients were divided into a group with TC≥5.415 mmol/L and another group with TC<5.415 mmol/L. In addition, differences in the prognosis of the two groups were assessed by comparing the UK-PBC and GLOBE scores.

  Results  The baseline data, including alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TB), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), triglycerides (TG), TC, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), were significantly increased in the UDCA non-responding group compared to those in the full-response group (all P<0.005), while the albumin level of the UDCA non-responding group was decreased compared to that of the full-response group (P=0.012). Findings of multi-factor logistic regression analysis suggested that TC (odds ratio OR=1.501, 95% confidence interval CI: 1.275-1.767, P<0.01) and ALP (OR=1.005, 95% CI: 1.003-1.006, P<0.01) were independent risk factors influencing patient response. The ROC curve analysis suggested worse prognosis for patients with TC≥5.415 mmol/L (AUC: 0.727, 95% CI: 0.680-0.775, 63.8% sensitivity, 76.4% specificity). In addition, the UK-PBC risk score at 1 year of treatment was higher in the high-TC group (TC≥5.415 mmol/L) than that in the low-TC group (TC<5.415 mmol/L) (P<0.05).

  Conclusions  Hypercholesterolemia is an independent risk factor for poor response to UDCA in PBC patients. When the baseline TC is equal to or higher than 5.415 mmol/L, PBC patients have a relatively poor response to UDCA and poor prognosis.