Objective To investigate the predictive value of the cancer antigen-125 elimination rate constant K (KELIM) for treatment response and prognosis in patients with advanced high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval debulking surgery (NACT-IDS), and to analyze the combined prognostic significance of KELIM and the mutation status of breast cancer susceptibility gene (BRCA).
Methods A total of 106 patients with advanced HGSOC who had undergone NACT-IDS were retrospectively enrolled. The KELIM values during neoadjuvant chemotherapy were calculated, and patients were divided into high- and low-KELIM groups using a cutoff value of 1.0. Clinicopathological characteristics, R0 resection rates, and platinum sensitivity rates were compared between the two groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictive factors for R0 resection, while Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression were performed to evaluate factors associated with progression-free survival (PFS). Furthermore, the patients were stratified according to both KELIM and BRCA status to assess the risk of platinum-resistant recurrence in each subgroup.
Results The R0 resection rate was higher in the KELIM ≥ 1 group than in the KELIM < 1 group (77.1% vs 55.2%), and the difference was statistically significant (P = 0.024). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that KELIM was an independent predictor of R0 resection (odds ratio OR = 2.922, 95% CI: 1.112–7.678). Survival analysis demonstrated longer PFS in the KELIM ≥1 group compared with that in the KELIM <1 group (33.0 months vs 18.0 months), and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that KELIM ≥ 1 was associated with a reduced risk of disease progression (hazard ratio HR = 0.481, 95% CI: 0.280-0.826). Combined stratification analysis revealed that no platinum-resistant recurrence was observed in the subgroup with both KELIM ≥1 and a BRCA-positive status (0/21). Compared with patients with KELIM <1 and a BRCA-negative status, this subgroup exhibited a lower risk of platinum-resistant recurrence (OR = 0.053, 95% CI: 0.003-0.932, P = 0.006).
Conclusion KELIM is an effective dynamic biomarker for predicting surgical outcomes and PFS in patients undergoing NACT-IDS. Combined stratification by KELIM and BRCA status allows more precise identification of the patient population with both KELIM ≥1 and BRCA-positive status, who have an extremely low risk of platinum-resistant recurrence, thereby providing an important basis for individualized treatment and risk stratification management in patients with advanced HGSOC.
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