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基于乳腺癌筛查队列的超声BI-RADS分类进展影响因素分析

Factors Influencing Progression on the Ultrasound BI-RADS Categories: An Analysis Based on a Breast Cancer Screening Cohort

  • 摘要:
    目的 乳腺超声BI-RADS分类是评价乳腺病灶特征的重要结果,本研究目的在于探索可能导致BI-RADS分类进展的影响因素。
    方法 基于2015–2021年成都市双流区两癌筛查队列,收集超声及问卷结果,BI-RADS分类从1~2达到3类及以上,或初筛3类及以上,后续筛查类别上升者定义为进展。采用Cox比例风险回归模型探索进展可能的影响因素,运用限制性立方样条探寻变量与进展风险的非线性关联。
    结果 最终7069人纳入分析,共随访23580人年。相较于其他年龄段,40~44岁人群中检出BI-RADS 3类及以上的人数占比最高(24.83%)。Cox回归分析发现,已绝经的女性比未绝经女性BI-RADS进展风险低〔风险比(hazard ratio, HR)=0.65,95%置信区间(confidence interval, CI):0.44~0.97〕;在已绝经的女性中,绝经晚(HR=1.16,95%CI:1.03~1.30)是BI-RADS进展的危险因素;绝经前女性肥胖(HR=0.43,95%CI:0.21~0.88)与进展风险负相关。
    结论 乳腺超声BI-RADS进展的危险因素与乳腺癌危险因素存在重合。可根据BI-RADS进展的高风险因素构建风险评分,优化高危人群筛查方案,提高乳腺癌筛查效率。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Ultrasound categories of Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) are an important outcome used in the evaluation of the characteristics of breast lesions. In this study, we aim to explore the potential influencing factors that may cause the progression of BI-RADS categories.
    Methods Based on the cervical cancer and breast cancer screening cohort in Shuangliu District, Chengdu from 2015 to 2021, we collected ultrasound and questionnaire results. Progression was defined as changing from BI-RADS category 1 or 2 to 3 or above, or from the initial screening result of BI-RADS 3 or above to a higher category in subsequent ultrasound screenings. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to explore potential influencing factors for BI-RADS classification progression. A restricted cubic spline was used to explore the nonlinear association between the variables and the risk of progression.
    Results A total of 7069 participants were included in the analysis and followed up for 23580 person-years. Compared with other age groups, the proportion of participants of BI-RADS category 3 and above was highest in the 40-44 age group (24.83%). Cox regression analysis showed that postmenopausal women had a lower risk of BI-RADS progression than premenopausal women did (hazard ratio HR: 0.65, 95% confidence interval CI: 0.44-0.97). In postmenopausal women, late menopause (HR=1.16, 95% CI: 1.03-1.30) was identified as a risk factor for BI-RADS progression. Obesity in premenopausal women was negatively associated with the risk of progression (HR=0.43, 95% CI: 0.21-0.88).
    Conclusion The risk factors for progression in ultrasound BI-RADS categories overlap with the risk factors for breast cancer. A risk score based on the high-risk factors for BI-RADS progression can be constructed to optimize screening programs for high-risk populations and improve the efficiency of breast cancer screening.

     

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